Dundee Utdvs
Hibernian
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundee Utd · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dundee Utd 1-0 Hibernian
Original prediction
Dundee Utd
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 34.9% | 39.1% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.6% | 27.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 38.6% | 33.2% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Dundee Utd
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Dundee Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40