Dundee Utdvs
Falkirk
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundee Utd · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dundee Utd 1-1 Falkirk
Original prediction
Dundee Utd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 48.1% | 40.3% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.9% | 27.2% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 26.1% | 32.5% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Dundee Utd
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Dundee Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20