GGOALVIO

Scotland · Championship · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dundee Utd · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Dundee Utd are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Dunfermline are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundee Utd hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (70.5 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.2% in the Championship, while Dundee Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dundee Utd

Probability

67.2%

Model confidence

67.2%

Dundee Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dundee UtdWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
DunfermlineWWLWD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dundee UtdDunfermline
67.6Attack16.7
78.7Defence83.3
69.4Form33.3
70.5Power48.3
1.89xG0.51
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