GGOALVIO

Scotland · Championship · 9/2/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dundee Utd · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Dundee Utd are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Airdrie United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundee Utd hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (70.5 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.4% in the Championship, while Dundee Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dundee Utd

Probability

66.4%

Model confidence

66.4%

Dundee Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dundee UtdWDWWW

GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Airdrie UnitedWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dundee UtdAirdrie United
67.6Attack40.7
78.7Defence59.3
69.4Form48.1
70.5Power51.0
1.87xG0.52
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