Dundee Utdvs
Aberdeen
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundee Utd · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dundee Utd 0-0 Aberdeen, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dundee Utd 3-2 Aberdeen
Original prediction
Dundee Utd
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 44.3% | 38.2% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.9% | 29.6% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 28.8% | 32.2% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Projected Score
Dundee Utd 0–0 Aberdeen
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Dundee Utd
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Dundee Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Dundee UtdDWWDL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AberdeenWLWDW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dundee UtdAberdeen
40.7Attack37.0
55.6Defence63.0
44.4Form40.7
46.9Power47.3
1.02xG0.93