Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
East Fife · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dundee II are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while East Fife are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and East Fife hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Challenge Cup, while East Fife holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
East Fife
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
East Fife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 4.00/0.00
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40