Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundalk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Dundalk are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.25 conceded, while UCD are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundalk hold a 32.9-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 17.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.5% in the Premier Division, while Dundalk holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dundalk
Probability
78.5%
Model confidence
78.5%
Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.25
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00