Dundalkvs
St Patrick's Athl.
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 9/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St Patrick's Athl. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dundalk 0-4 St Patrick's Athl.
Original prediction
St Patrick's Athl.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.23 | 28.7% | 24.2% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.8% | 24.5% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 45.6% | 51.2% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
St Patrick's Athl.
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
St Patrick's Athl. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00