Dundalkvs
St Patrick's Athl.
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 4/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St Patrick's Athl. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Dundalk are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while St Patrick's Athl. are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and St Patrick's Athl. hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Premier Division, while St Patrick's Athl. holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St Patrick's Athl.
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
St Patrick's Athl. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80