GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 3/3/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St Patrick's Athl. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dundalk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while St Patrick's Athl. are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and St Patrick's Athl. hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Premier Division, while St Patrick's Athl. holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St Patrick's Athl.

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

St Patrick's Athl. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DundalkLDWDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
St Patrick's Athl.WDWWW

GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
DundalkSt Patrick's Athl.
51.9Attack53.1
49.4Defence71.6
45.7Form58.0
50.5Power61.0
0.92xG1.51
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