Dundalkvs
Shelbourne
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 9/18/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundalk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dundalk 2-3 Shelbourne
Original prediction
Dundalk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 38.0% | 43.2% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.7% | 24.3% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 35.4% | 32.5% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Dundalk
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20