GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 3/6/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dundalk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dundalk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Shelbourne are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.5 against 49.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Premier Division, while Dundalk holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dundalk

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DundalkWLDWD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ShelbourneWLDDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
DundalkShelbourne
51.9Attack46.2
49.4Defence51.3
45.7Form43.6
50.5Power49.9
1.63xG1.27
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