GGOALVIO

Ireland · FAI Cup · 7/23/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dundalk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dundalk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shamrock Rovers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 88.7 against 88.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the FAI Cup, while Dundalk holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dundalk

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DundalkWDLWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Shamrock RoversLLDLW

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
DundalkShamrock Rovers
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power88.7
1.96xG1.67
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