Dundalkvs
Galway United
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 4/17/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundalk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dundalk are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Galway United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundalk hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Premier Division, while Dundalk holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dundalk
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
12.4%
Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80