Dundalkvs
Derry City
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 5/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundalk · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Dundalk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Derry City are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.5 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Premier Division, while Dundalk holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dundalk
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80