Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dundalk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bohemians are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bohemians hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Premier Division, while Bohemians holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
13.4%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00