Dunbeholdenvs
Molynes United
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dunbeholden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dunbeholden 1-0 Molynes United
Original prediction
Dunbeholden
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.7% | 38.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 27.2% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 36.3% | 34.7% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Dunbeholden
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Dunbeholden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20