Dunav Rusevs
Slavia Sofia
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 9/7/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slavia Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dunav Ruse 0-1 Slavia Sofia, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dunav Ruse 0-1 Slavia Sofia
Original prediction
Slavia Sofia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 35.5% | 27.1% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.6% | 28.7% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 34.0% | 44.2% | 10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Projected Score
Dunav Ruse 0–1 Slavia Sofia
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Slavia Sofia
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Slavia Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Dunav RuseDLWLL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Slavia SofiaLDDWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Dunav RuseSlavia Sofia
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence71.4
19.0Form33.3
32.1Power47.0
0.77xG1.27