Dunav Rusevs
Ludogorets II
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 7/16/2023, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Dunav Ruse are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ludogorets II are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets II hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Second League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33