Dunav Rusevs
Botev Vratsa
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dunav Ruse · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dunav Ruse 2-2 Botev Vratsa
Original prediction
Dunav Ruse
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 33.6% | 40.6% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 30.2% | 28.0% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 36.2% | 31.4% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Dunav Ruse
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Dunav Ruse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80