GGOALVIO

Romania · Liga II · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSM Ramnicu Valcea · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dumbrăviţa 0-1 CSM Ramnicu Valcea

Original prediction

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.0130.0%34.4%4.3 pts
Draw3.1528.7%29.1%0.5 pts
Away2.1941.3%36.5%-4.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.1–011%

Predicted outcome

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

CSM Ramnicu Valcea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DumbrăviţaDDLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CSM Ramnicu ValceaDDLDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
DumbrăviţaCSM Ramnicu Valcea
33.3Attack41.7
58.3Defence58.3
25.0Form41.7
42.1Power50.3
1.14xG1.11
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