Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Keith · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dumbarton 1-0 Keith
Original prediction
Keith
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Keith
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Keith has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DumbartonDLLWW
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KeithWLWWL
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DumbartonKeith
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
1.68xG1.85