Dumbartonvs
Forfar Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Dumbarton are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Forfar Athletic are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Forfar Athletic hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.2%
Model confidence
34.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00