Dulwich Hamletvs
Chatham Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dulwich Hamlet · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dulwich Hamlet 0-4 Chatham Town
Original prediction
Dulwich Hamlet
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 33.9% | 53.6% | 19.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.9% | 20.5% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.1% | 25.9% | -14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Dulwich Hamlet
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Dulwich Hamlet has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00