Dulwich Hamletvs
Carshalton Athletic
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dulwich Hamlet · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dulwich Hamlet 2-2 Carshalton Athletic
Original prediction
Dulwich Hamlet
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.0% | 54.9% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.8% | 20.8% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.1% | 24.2% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Dulwich Hamlet
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Dulwich Hamlet has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20