Dulwich Hamletvs
Aveley
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dulwich Hamlet · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dulwich Hamlet 2-0 Aveley
Original prediction
Dulwich Hamlet
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.9% | 52.3% | 14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.4% | 20.7% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.6% | 27.0% | -10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Dulwich Hamlet
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Dulwich Hamlet has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40