Dukla Prahavs
Vlašim
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · FNL · 9/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dukla Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dukla Praha 3-1 Vlašim
Original prediction
Dukla Praha
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.8% | 48.0% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.3% | 23.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.96 | 22.9% | 28.4% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Dukla Praha
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Dukla Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20