Dukla Prahavs
Baník Ostrava II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · FNL · 10/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dukla Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dukla Praha 3-2 Baník Ostrava II
Original prediction
Dukla Praha
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.8% | 43.0% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.8% | 27.7% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.87 | 23.4% | 29.3% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Dukla Praha
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Dukla Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20