Dukla Banská Bystricavs
Skalica
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Super Liga · 9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skalica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dukla Banská Bystrica 3-2 Skalica
Original prediction
Skalica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 40.7% | 33.3% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.5% | 25.4% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 31.8% | 41.4% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Skalica
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Skalica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80