Dukla Banská Bystricavs
Podbrezová
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Super Liga · 10/18/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Podbrezová · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dukla Banská Bystrica 1-0 Podbrezová
Original prediction
Podbrezová
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.28 | 28.0% | 28.0% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.2% | 22.2% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.9% | 49.8% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Podbrezová
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Podbrezová has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00