Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malisheva · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dukagjini 2-0 Malisheva
Original prediction
Malisheva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 37.8% | 33.0% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.1% | 28.2% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.1% | 38.8% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Malisheva
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Malisheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DukagjiniWDWDL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MalishevaWWDWL
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
DukagjiniMalisheva
41.7Attack100.0
75.0Defence75.0
66.7Form83.3
64.8Power83.5
1.03xG1.27