Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malisheva · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Dukagjini are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Malisheva are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Malisheva hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Superliga, while Malisheva holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Malisheva
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Malisheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00