GGOALVIO

Kosovo · Superliga · 8/27/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dukagjini · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Dukagjini are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Liria Prizren are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Dukagjini hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 25.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.3% in the Superliga, while Dukagjini holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dukagjini

Probability

62.3%

Model confidence

62.3%

Dukagjini has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DukagjiniLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Liria PrizrenDL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
DukagjiniLiria Prizren
35.2Attack24.1
55.6Defence27.8
41.7Form13.0
46.5Power25.4
1.74xG0.56
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