Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dukagjini · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dukagjini 0-0 Drita, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dukagjini 1-2 Drita
Original prediction
Dukagjini
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 36.7% | 38.9% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 29.9% | 30.7% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 33.5% | 30.3% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Dukagjini 0–0 Drita
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Dukagjini
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Dukagjini has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DukagjiniDWWDW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DritaDLDWD
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.20/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
DukagjiniDrita
38.9Attack40.0
83.3Defence73.3
66.7Form53.3
65.7Power57.6
0.99xG0.75