Dukagjinivs
Drenica Skënderaj
COMPLETEDKosovo · Superliga · 10/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dukagjini · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dukagjini 0-0 Drenica Skënderaj, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dukagjini 1-1 Drenica Skënderaj
Original prediction
Dukagjini
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 07:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 53.4% | 49.5% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.0% | 29.8% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.56 | 19.5% | 20.7% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Projected Score
Dukagjini 0–0 Drenica Skënderaj
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Dukagjini
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Dukagjini has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DukagjiniWDLDW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Drenica SkënderajLDLWW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
DukagjiniDrenica Skënderaj
33.3Attack40.7
81.5Defence55.6
59.3Form37.0
60.7Power44.3
1.03xG0.57