Duhokvs
Ghaz Al Shamal
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 9/8/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Duhok · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Duhok 0-0 Ghaz Al Shamal, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Duhok 1-1 Ghaz Al Shamal
Original prediction
Duhok
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.4% | 44.4% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.3% | 29.9% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.91 | 18.4% | 25.7% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Projected Score
Duhok 0–0 Ghaz Al Shamal
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Duhok
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Duhok has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DuhokWDDDD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Ghaz Al ShamalLWDDL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
DuhokGhaz Al Shamal
46.7Attack20.0
60.0Defence73.3
46.7Form33.3
54.5Power45.2
1.05xG0.75