Duhokvs
Al Zawra'a
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 10/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Zawra'a · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Duhok 3-0 Al Zawra'a
Original prediction
Al Zawra'a
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 15:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.67 | 24.5% | 21.7% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.8% | 26.4% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 46.7% | 51.9% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Al Zawra'a
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Al Zawra'a has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40