Duhokvs
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 9/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Quwa Al Jawiya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Duhok 0-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Duhok 2-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Original prediction
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.8% | 27.0% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.3% | 31.9% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 35.9% | 41.1% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Projected Score
Duhok 0–0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60