Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dugopolje · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dugopolje 1-2 Opatija
Original prediction
Dugopolje
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.8% | 40.6% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.6% | 28.6% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.6% | 30.8% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Dugopolje
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Dugopolje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DugopoljeDLLWL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OpatijaWDWLL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
DugopoljeOpatija
48.1Attack37.0
48.1Defence59.3
37.0Form40.7
47.4Power48.6
1.26xG1.06