Dugopoljevs
Karlovac 1919
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dugopolje · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dugopolje 2-2 Karlovac 1919
Original prediction
Dugopolje
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.1% | 41.3% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.1% | 27.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 23.8% | 31.1% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Dugopolje
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Dugopolje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60