Dugopoljevs
Dinamo Zagreb U21
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/19/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dugopolje · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dugopolje 3-2 Dinamo Zagreb U21
Original prediction
Dugopolje
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.9% | 36.6% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.9% | 28.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.2% | 34.8% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Dugopolje
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Dugopolje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00