Dugopoljevs
Croatia Zmijavci
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 10/11/2026, 10:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Croatia Zmijavci · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dugopolje 0-1 Croatia Zmijavci
Original prediction
Croatia Zmijavci
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.2% | 33.5% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.0% | 30.0% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 27.8% | 36.5% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Croatia Zmijavci
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Croatia Zmijavci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00