Dugo Selovs
Koprivnica
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dugo Selo · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (13%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dugo Selo 2-0 Koprivnica
Original prediction
Dugo Selo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.7% | 55.9% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 20.8% | 23.5% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 5.52 | 16.4% | 20.6% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Dugo Selo
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Dugo Selo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80