Dugo Selovs
Inter Zapresic
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dugo Selo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dugo Selo 3-0 Inter Zapresic
Original prediction
Dugo Selo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.3% | 39.1% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.6% | 28.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.1% | 32.3% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Dugo Selo
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Dugo Selo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60