GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 4/17/2025, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dudley Redhead United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Dudley Redhead United are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Thornton Redbacks are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dudley Redhead United hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the NNSW League 1, while Dudley Redhead United holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dudley Redhead United

Probability

57.3%

Model confidence

57.3%

Dudley Redhead United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dudley Redhead UnitedWLWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Thornton RedbacksWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 19 · avg 1.20/3.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Dudley Redhead UnitedThornton Redbacks
48.1Attack52.2
51.9Defence26.1
51.9Form36.2
51.4Power39.1
2.48xG1.38
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