GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 4/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Dudley Redhead United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lake Macquarie

Probability

62.8%

Model confidence

9.2%

Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dudley Redhead UnitedLWWLL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Lake MacquarieDLWDL

GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Dudley Redhead UnitedLake Macquarie
48.1Attack100.0
51.9Defence55.6
51.9Form75.9
51.4Power73.6
1.35xG2.65
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