GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 4/6/2025, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Dudley Redhead United are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lake Macquarie

Probability

61.0%

Model confidence

61.0%

Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dudley Redhead UnitedWL

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Lake MacquarieWLLLL

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Dudley Redhead UnitedLake Macquarie
48.1Attack100.0
51.9Defence55.6
51.9Form75.9
51.4Power73.6
1.35xG2.65
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