Dubrava Zagrebvs
Kustosija
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 10/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dubrava Zagreb 0-0 Kustosija, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dubrava Zagreb 1-2 Kustosija
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.3% | 34.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.4% | 33.3% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.3% | 32.5% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Projected Score
Dubrava Zagreb 0–0 Kustosija
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.3%
Model confidence
34.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Dubrava ZagrebLLLWD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KustosijaWDLWL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dubrava ZagrebKustosija
37.0Attack22.2
59.3Defence74.1
40.7Form37.0
48.6Power47.4
0.68xG0.60