GGOALVIO

Croatia · First NL · 8/19/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dubrava Zagreb · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dubrava Zagreb are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while HNK Cibalia are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Dubrava Zagreb hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the First NL, while Dubrava Zagreb holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dubrava Zagreb

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Dubrava Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dubrava ZagrebDWLWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HNK CibaliaWLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Dubrava ZagrebHNK Cibalia
36.4Attack37.4
55.6Defence42.4
38.4Form37.4
45.2Power41.0
1.36xG0.90
View match centre →