Dubrava Zagrebvs
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dubrava Zagreb · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dubrava Zagreb 1-0 Bsk Bijelo Brdo, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dubrava Zagreb 0-1 Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Original prediction
Dubrava Zagreb
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 31.4% | 38.9% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.3% | 30.0% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 39.3% | 31.1% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Projected Score
Dubrava Zagreb 1–0 Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Dubrava Zagreb
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Dubrava Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20